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‘Models’ Tagged Posts

Hurricane Sergio Replace, Path, Spaghetti Fashions, NOAA Timing 2018: The place is Hurricane Sergio Headed for Landfall?

© stormvistawxmodels.com Hurricane Sergio has made an anticipated flip within the Pacific and is now heading northeast at six miles per hour toward...

 

a close up of a map © stormvistawxmodels.com Hurricane Sergio has made an anticipated flip within the Pacific and is now heading northeast at six miles per hour towards a forecast landfall path as a tropical storm throughout Baja Mexico on Friday. Sergio is then predicted to trace Saturday throughout southern Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas earlier than settling into Oklahoma as a tropical melancholy or remnant low late Saturday night time, in keeping with the newest Nationwide Hurricane Heart replace.

“Moisture related to the remnants of Sergio is predicted to have an effect on northwestern Mexico and parts of the southwest United States over the weekend and will probably trigger heavy rainfall on this area,” the Nationwide Hurricane Heart mentioned Tuesday. 

Hurricane Sergio is at the moment a Class 1 storm, with most sustained winds of 85 miles per hour, situated 1,225 miles west, southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico. Gradual weakening is anticipated through the subsequent a number of days, in keeping with the newest forecast, however the storm has a excessive certainty of hitting Mexico after which traversing into the southwest U.S. as a heavy rain maker with flash flooding potential. The rain might additionally profit some drought-stricken U.S. areas.

“Sergio is forecast to maneuver inland over Baja California Sur on Friday and into the northwestern Mexico state of Sonora early Saturday,” the Nationwide Hurricane Heart mentioned Tuesday. “On the finish of the forecast interval, Sergio is predicted to additional degenerate right into a remnant low over the southwestern United States.” 

Sergio is predicted to method Baja California on Friday with winds of 60 miles per hour, with winds of 40 miles per hour because it strikes throughout New Mexico Saturday.  Hurricane Sergio’s timing for landfall and inland motion is as follows, in keeping with the Nationwide Hurricane Heart. 

–Friday hits Baja California as a tropical storm. 

–Late Friday, early Saturday strikes inland throughout the Mexico state of Sonora as a tropical storm. 

–Saturday strikes inland throughout the southwest U.S., together with New Mexico, and northern Texas, bringing probably heavy rain. 

–Late Saturday, early Sunday tropical melancholy or remnant low from Sergio is in Oklahoma, carry rain to southern Kansas and northern Texas. 

“Some sluggish weakening, or presumably little or no change in energy, is predicted through the subsequent 36 hours as Sergio traverses marginally conducive oceanic temperatures and stays in a low shear surrounding setting,” the Nationwide Hurricane Heart mentioned. “Afterward, the cyclone ought to enter a area of a lot cooler sea floor temperatures and growing southwesterly shear, which ought to affect important weakening and decreasing Sergio to a tropical storm previous to landfall.”